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Negative Numbers &True Count

by modek @ 2008-02-29 - 11:54:07



    If you haven’t indulged in any of the casino games as yet then believe me that you have missed something. As casino games can fulfill all your dreams in a flash. Well let me tell you something about negative numbers and true cut on behalf of my experience.

     If you still struggle with keeping the count when it falls into negative numbers, you might try starting off with count of + I a rather than zero. If you go up or down from there, you will rarely dip into negative digits, and if you do, that might be a good time to leave the table anyway. Obviously, if you used this trick, you'd need to adjust your betting and play decisions to correspond with the different starting point ($50 at +20 rather than, + 10).

    I never had any problems adding or subtracting negative integers, although I know some players who do. Personally, the only time, Negative numbers bother me is when they show up on the trip's Win/loss sheet.

TRUE COUNT

    The only reason I expect to have more winning days than losing '. ones is because I raise my bets during positive counts. The previous I chart shows when to raise your bets according to the RC, but the maximum dollar” per-hour return would be to theoretically jump to your highest bet ($100 in our example) any time you have an edge over the house. This would also be the simplest betting scheme. However, such a strategy packs unnecessary risk, and players employing such aggressive tactics would be in danger of tapping out their $10,000 bankroll rather than winning.

    A smarter approach is to modify your bets so they are in proportion to the actual edge you have on any given hand. A rule of thumb is that the higher the count goes into the positive numbers, the larger your edge. This is why the chart shows incremental increases in your bets based on how high the RC rises.

    However, most counters never base their bets just on the RC because the value of the count changes depending on how many cards remain to be played. For example, if you took a 4 out of a pack of fifty-two cards, the odds would shift by about 0.5 percent in favor of the players. Yet you would need to remove six 4s out of a six-deck shoe to cause the same shift in the house advantage.

    Here is a great way to illustrate that principle. If you added a teaspoon of sugar to an eight-ounce glass of lemonade, most people would find it just right-not too sweet and not too bitter. But if you were to add only one teaspoon of sugar to the entire pitcher of lemonade, the sweetener would be greatly diluted. It would take six teaspoons (if there were six glasses of lemonade in the pitcher) to accomplish a similar effect. The same concept applies to the true count; as the effect of each individual card value is diluted depend- ing on how many decks are used. The bigger the pitcher or shoe, the less effect each teaspoon of sugar or small card will have.. Therefore, the only way to know the proper proportion and correct odds is with a true count (hereafter called TC). This conversion process scares off many players, but it can be learned with a little practice.

 Here is the formula that shows the equation:

 True Count = (Running Count)/(Unplayed Decks)

     Getting back to the example of our 4s, a RC of +6 with six decks remaining to be played yields the same TC of + I as a RC of + I with one deck remaining (6 -:- 6 = I). This is because the effect of removing a small card from one deck (I out of 52 cards) is significantly greater on the remaining composition than removing the same card from six decks (I out of 312 cards).

 

 

 

 

 


 
 

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